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G. M. Milesi-Ferretti and A. Razin, “Persistent Current Account Deficits: A Warning Signal?” International Jour- nal of Finance and Economics, Vol. 1, No. 3, 1996, pp. 161-181. doi:10.1002/(SICI)1099-1158(199607)1:3<161::AID-IJFE19>3.0.CO;2-W

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