TITLE:
Risk Assessment of Aircraft’s Lateral Veer-off the Runway Surface during Landing
AUTHORS:
Victor V. Stolyarov, Allam Jamal-Eddine
KEYWORDS:
Risk, Runways, Veer-off, Aircraft, Design
JOURNAL NAME:
Open Journal of Applied Sciences,
Vol.13 No.8,
August
16,
2023
ABSTRACT: This article presents a methodology to determine the risk of aircrafts lateral runway excursion during landing
via mathematical risk modeling. In addition, the methodology is demonstrated by
means of detailed calculation of the lateral runway excursion risk value during the landing of the aircraft Airbus A310-200, in view of the
maximum landing weight and the appropriate range of landing velocities according to the International Civil Aviation
Organization specification. Obviously, the calculation demonstrates that the
developed math solutions and equations presented herein are powerful tools to
evaluate the risk of lateral runway excursion of the majority of aircrafts and
for any airport. The method is also applicable to assess the residual level of
risk at any specific airport and its deviation compared to the recommended safety level. Consequently, the
presented mathematical solutions to determine the risk rate of lateral runway excursion during landing offers airports’ operational and safety management
departments a viable tool so that appropriate measurements could be adopted. Finally, it is a methodology not only to assess the risk but
also to determine the appropriate runway width.