TITLE:
Women in Politics by Bass Diffusion Model
AUTHORS:
Marino A. Garcia, Chrysler M. Cabusa
KEYWORDS:
Women, Politics, Bass Diffusion Model, Gender Equality
JOURNAL NAME:
Open Journal of Social Sciences,
Vol.8 No.11,
November
27,
2020
ABSTRACT: Gender equality through women empowerment has been a global advocacy since the early 20th century. This paper attempts to forecast the participation of women in politics, especially in the Philippines. Data from 1998 to 2016 on the number of women joining the Philippine government (elected) were extracted from the Philippine Statistics Authority. The data were used to denote the cumulative adopters by tailoring it to the Bass diffusion model by means of the Bass Forecasting Spreadsheet. It was found out that the adoption rate in 2040 will be around 37% in the present population. This means that women role in politics is expected to reach its peak based on the first data in 42 years. The use of this model delivered an idea that the growing nature of women in the politics either from local and national positions can seemingly sustain overtime. Further, it denotes that even in the increasing involvement of women in politics, there will be a time that it reaches its saturation point. In the same vein, even with the saturation, the years mark and uncover the significant contributions of women in the politics. Hence, it is not the quantity of women in the Philippine politics that matters, but rather the kind of service they can provide to uplift the quality of Filipino lives.