CAERC (China Automotive Energy Research Center Tsinghua University), “Life Cycle Cost Data for Vehicle and Fuel in China,” Technology Report, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 2010.

has been cited by the following article:

• TITLE: China’s New Energy Passenger Vehicle Development Scenario Analysis Based on Life Time Cost Modelling

  AUTHORS: Xunmin Ou, Qian Zhang, Xu Zhang, Xiliang Zhang

  KEYWORDS: Life Time Cost; New Energy Vehicle; Scenario Analysis; China

  JOURNAL NAME: Low Carbon Economy, Vol.4 No.2, May 27, 2013

  ABSTRACT: Based on the analysis on the development trend of vehicle technology, vehicle price, vehicle fuel economy and fuel supply price, the new energy vehicle (NEV) passenger car development scale is projected on different scenario with the application of life time cost model. Three scenarios are set to find electric vehicle (EV) and fuel cell vehicle (FCV) development potential in future to their pessimistic and optimistic assumptions in China. The results are demonstrated: 1) NEV development needs a long time due to high initial cost for vehicle buyer; 2) EV will develop quickly under if there is quick development of battery technology; and 3) FCV can only develop in a large scale in 20 - 30 years even in the optimistic scenario.