TITLE:
Review of Relief Demand Forecasting Problem in Emergency Logistic System
AUTHORS:
Jianan Zhao, Cejun Cao
KEYWORDS:
Relief, Material Categorization, Demand Characteristic, Forecasting Method, Review
JOURNAL NAME:
Journal of Service Science and Management,
Vol.8 No.1,
February
9,
2015
ABSTRACT: Demand forecasting on relief is the premise and basis of material allocation scheme in emergency logistic system. Reasonable demand forecasting method can facilitate relief distribution, thus avoiding the phenomenon that supply-demand imbalance and relief distribution delay. In this paper, relief will be categorized from point view of government and academia, to explain the relationship between relief categorization and demand forecasting. Then introduce the characteristics of relief-demand from several aspects, such as sudden, uncertainty, timeliness, and stage. Finally, this paper gives an overall conclusion on current development of relief demand forecasting method. And elaborate the application of case-based reasoning, information entropy theory, considering safety stock in the field of relief-demand forecasting in detail, to provide reference for relief distribution.