Logistic Methods in Calculating Mortality Index in Hidalgo México

Gerardo Martínez-Guzmán, Mario Mauricio Bustillo-Díaz, Alejandro Rangel-Huerta, Gabriel Juárez-Díaz, Apolonio Ata-Pérez, Nicolás Quiroz-Hernández, Rogelio González-Velázquez, María Beatríz Bernabe-Loranca

Facultad de Ciencias de la Computación, Benemérita Universidad Autónoma de Puebla, Puebla, México.

DOI: 10.4236/am.2015.68110                

Abstract

Mortality projections in a population are based on the prior analysis of mortality in a region, hoever, there are populations where data are not available or not reflect its real mortality level, that is, the projections depend on hypothesis strength of previous data. Based on these assumptions, the mathematical method Genova I Maleras 1997 used the most recent data and the model tables from the United Nations (UN). This method was applied to a mortality survey of the population of Hidalgo State, Mexico, projecting to year 2030. This method has not been applied in Mexico.

Keywords

Mortality Projection, Genova I Maleras Method

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

References

[1]	CEPAL/UNFPA (Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean/United Nations Population Fund) (2005) Population Dynamics and Development in Latin America and the Caribbean, Population and Development Series No. 58 (LC/L.2235-P), United Nations Publication. Sales No. S.04.II.G.155, Santiago.
[2]	UN United Nations (1986) Manual X: Indirect Techniques for Demographic Estimation. United Nations Publication, Sales No. S.83.XIll.2.
[3]	Vinuesa, J., Zamora, F., Génova, R., Serrano, P. and Recaño, J. (1997) Demography: Analysis and Projections. Syn-thesis Ed. Spain.
[4]	CELADE (Latin American Demographic Center) (2004) Latin America: Life Tables 1950-2025. United Nations Publication. Sales No. E/S.04.II.G.94. Santiago.
[5]	CONAPO (National Population Council) (2005) Major Causes of Death in the Life Course Stages 1980-2002. Technical Paper Series CONAPO, Mexico, D.F.
[6]	CONAPO (National Population Council) (2008) Projections of the Population of Mexico, Federations Entities, Municipalities and Localities 2005-2050. Methodological Document CONAPO, Mexico, D.F.
[7]	INEGI (National Institute of Statistics and Geography) (2009) Historical Statistics of Mexico 2009. INEGI, México.
[8]	Bulatao, R.A., et al. (1989) Projecting Mortality for All Countries. Working Paper N 337, World Bank, Washington.
[9]	Montgomery, D., Peck, E. and Vining, G. (2002) Introduction to Linear Regression Analysis. Grupo Patria Cultural Ed., Mexico.
[10]	INEGI (National Institute of Statistics and Geography) (2011) Statistical Yearbook of Hidalgo 2011. Hidalgo State Government INEGI, Mexico.
[11]	INEGI (National Institute of Statistics and Geography) (2011) Main Results of the Population and Housing Census 2010, Hidalgo. INEGI, Mexico.