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Combining Internal Data with Scenario Analysis

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DOI: 10.4236/me.2015.65055    3,930 Downloads   4,344 Views  

ABSTRACT

A Bayesian inference approach offers a methodical concept that combines internal data with experts’ opinions. Joining these two elements with precision is certainly one of the challenges in operational risk. In this paper, we are interested in applying a Bayesian inference technique in a robust manner to be able to estimate a capital requirement that best approaches the reality. In addition, we illustrate the importance of a consistent scenario analysis in showing that the expert opinion coherence leads to a robust estimation of risk.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Cite this paper

Karam, E. and Planchet, F. (2015) Combining Internal Data with Scenario Analysis. Modern Economy, 6, 563-577. doi: 10.4236/me.2015.65055.

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