Probabilistic Prediction for Earthquake in Bangladesh: Just How Big Does the Earthquake Have to Be Next Years?

Shongkour Roy

Department of Statistics, Jahangirnagar University, Savar, Bangladesh; International Center for Diahorreal Diseases Research, Bangladesh (icddr, b), Dhaka, Bangladesh.

DOI: 10.4236/ojer.2014.32011                

Abstract

Earthquakes are more deadly than any other form of natural hazard. Because of this, scientists have been searching for accurate ways to predict earthquakes so that lives can be saved. Statistical analysis is useful methods of predicting earthquakes. They provide additional insights to the seismic hazard. In this work, the statistical analysis has been described through the study of “Region of Bangladesh”. A sample result from the statistical analysis which gives intermediate term prediction of earthquakes is given. At the end of the study, the prediction of near future earth-quakes is also investigated through the pictorial and tabular behaviors.

Keywords

Earthquake, Seismicity, Statistical Method, Weibull Distribution

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

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