Analysis of Changes of Extreme Temperature during June to August Season over Tanzania ()
Author(s)
Justus Renatus Mbawala1,2,
Huixin Li1*,
Jiani Zeng1,
Daudi Mikidadi Ndabagenga1,3,
Anqin Tan1,
Daniela Janine Beukes1,4,
Praksed Mrosso Rafael2,
Samuel Ekwacu5
Affiliation(s)
1Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters/Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education/School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China.
2National Meteorological Training Centre, Kigoma, Tanzania.
3Tanzania Meteorological Authority (TMA), Forecasting Office, Kilimanjaro International Airport (KIA), Kilimanjaro, Tanzania.
4Namibia Meteorological Service, Windhoek, Namibia.
5Uganda National Meteorological Authority, Kampala, Uganda.
ABSTRACT
Natural and human systems are exposed and vulnerable to climate extremes,
which contributes to the repercussions of climate variability and the probability
of disasters. The impacts of both natural and human-caused climate variability are
reflected in the reported changes in climate extremes. Particularly at the local
community levels in the majority of the regions, there is currently a dearth of
information regarding the distribution, dynamics, and trends of excessive temperatures
among the majority of Tanzanians. Over the years 1982-2022, this study examined trends in Tanzania’s extreme
temperature over the June to August
season. Based on the distinction between absolute and percentile extreme
temperatures, a total of eight ETCCDI climate indices were chosen. Mann-Kendall
test was used to assess the presence of trends in extreme climatic indices and the
Sen’s Slope was applied to compute the extent of
the trends in temperature extremes. The study showed that in most regions, there is significant increase of warm days and nights while the significant decrease
of cold days and nights was evident to most areas. Moreover, nighttime warming surpasses
daytime warming in the study area. The study suggests that anthropogenic influences
may contribute to the warming trend observed in extreme daily minimum and maximum
temperatures globally, with Tanzania potentially affected, as indicated in the current
research. The overall results of this study reflect patterns observed in various
regions worldwide, where warm days and nights are on the rise while cold days and
nights are diminishing.
Share and Cite:
Mbawala, J. , Li, H. , Zeng, J. , Ndabagenga, D. , Tan, A. , Beukes, D. , Rafael, P. and Ekwacu, S. (2024) Analysis of Changes of Extreme Temperature during June to August Season over Tanzania.
Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection,
12, 44-56. doi:
10.4236/gep.2024.122003.
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