Advances in Pure Mathematics

Volume 12, Issue 1 (January 2022)

ISSN Print: 2160-0368   ISSN Online: 2160-0384

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Peaks over Manifold (POM): A Novel Technique to Analyze Extreme Events over Surfaces

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DOI: 10.4236/apm.2022.121004    174 Downloads   729 Views  Citations

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ABSTRACT

We present a novel method to analyze extreme events of flows over manifolds called Peaks Over Manifold (POM). Here we show that under general and realistic hypotheses, the distribution of affectation measures converges to a Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD). The method is applicable to floods, ice cover extent, extreme rainfall or marine heatwaves. We present an application to a synthetic data set on tide height and to real ice cover data in Antartica.

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Perera, G. and Segura, A. (2022) Peaks over Manifold (POM): A Novel Technique to Analyze Extreme Events over Surfaces. Advances in Pure Mathematics, 12, 48-62. doi: 10.4236/apm.2022.121004.

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