Author(s): |
Hui Cheng, Key Laboratory of Communication & Information Systems, Beijing Municipal Commission of Education, Beijing Yun Liu, Key Laboratory of Communication & Information Systems, Beijing Municipal Commission of Education, Beijing Zhenjiang Zhang, Key Laboratory of Communication & Information Systems, Beijing Municipal Commission of Education, Beijing Fei Ding, Key Laboratory of Communication & Information Systems, Beijing Municipal Commission of Education, Beijing |
Abstract: |
Online forum is very popular for people to express their opinion on the internet. In this paper, we analyze some statistical properties about user actions in the online forum, including user post actions, user relationship, user time actions. All these properties express some regularity. Base on the fact that users prefer to post replies to the topics posted by their friend and these statistical properties, we present a prediction model using simulation method to predict the growing progress of a single online forum topic.
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