Dynamics of a Nonautonomous Plant Disease Model with General Nonlinear Incidence Rate and Time-Varying Impulse ()
1. Introduction
Plant viruses or pathogens are an important constraint to crop production worldwide, and cause serious losses in agriculture and forestry. For example, Huanglongbing (HLB) has no cure and affects all citrus varieties, reducing the productivity of orchards because the fruits of infected plants have poor quality and, in extreme cases, infection leads to plant death [1] [2] [3]. Several plant diseases caused by plant viruses in cassava (Manihot esculenta) and sweet potato (Ipomoea batatas) are among the main constraints to sustainable production of these vegetatively propagated staple food crops in lesser-developed countries [4] [5] [6]. Epidemics of many polycyclic plant diseases caused by ascomycete fungal pathogens are invited by wind-borne ascospores transported into the crop in autumn [7] and subsequently develop further through cycles of splash dispersed conidia [8]. Integrated disease management (IDM) has been developed gradually by famers to reduce the numbers of infected individuals to a tolerable level and aims to minimize losses and maximize returns which combine biological, cultural, and chemical tactics and so on. A cultural control strategy including replanting, and/or removing diseased plants is a widely accepted treatment for plant epidemics which involves periodic inspections followed by removal of the detected infected plants [9] - [17]. Therefore, we have turned more attention to plant diseases.
Mathematical models play an important role in understanding the epidemiology of plant diseases. Applications of mathematical approach to plant epidemics were reviewed by Van der Plank and Kranz. There are many authors establishing mathematical models to describe the transmission of plant disease. Meng and Li [6] have investigated vegetatively propagated plant diseases and developed a mathematical model with impulsive cultural control strategies as follows:
(1)
Zhang and Meng take into account time delays in modeling equations and the models take the form of delay differential equations [18]. The reasonable time delay plant disease models are established as follows:
(2)
The above epidemic models discussed with constant coefficients and saturation incidence rate. However, the nonautonomous phenomenon is prevalent in the real life, which should be more realistic than autonomous systems. For example, the climate changes may lead to the variation of the disease spreading, seasonal cultivation of the plant, and so on. More recently, many authors pointed out that a nonlinear incidence rate may be more realistic during the disease transmission process. For example, Teng and Zhang [19] have proposed an SIS epidemic model with generalized incidence rate
. To address the time-varying nature of the coefficients more realistically, nonautonomous model with general nonlinear incidence rate and time-varying impulse has been introduced.
The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, we formulate the impulsive epidemic model and also simplify the original system (3). In Section 3, we introduce some useful lemmas and the basic reproduction number of the model. In Sections 4 and 5, we proved the global stability of the disease-free equilibrium and permanence of the model, respectively. In the finally section, we present numerical simulations that demonstrate the theoretical results and give some control and prevention measures.
2. Model Formulation and Preliminary
In this section, the plant population is subdivided into three groups: susceptible plants S, latent infected plants E and infected plants I. We assume that replanting susceptible plants and roguing latent infected and infected plants at the same time. Motivated by the above factors, we propose a non-autonomous epidemic model incorporated general nonlinear incidence rate and time-varying impulse as follows:
(3)
The model is satisfied with the following assumptions.
(H1)
denote the number of susceptible, latent and infected plants, respectively. The initial conditions are
and
.
(H2)
and
are left continuous for
.
(H3)
are the nature death, recovery rate at time t, respectively.
is the rate at which latent population becomes infective population at time t.
(H4) The coefficients
and
are assumed to be nonnegative, continuous and bounded
-periodic functions in the interval
.
(H5)
represent pulse time. There exists a positive integer q such that
for all
.
(H6)
,
and
(
) are the pulse replanting rates of susceptible plants, roguing rates of latent plants and infected plants at each fix time
, respectively, and
,
,
for all
.
(H7) The general nonlinear incidence rates
and
are piecewise continuous, nonnegative, periodic functions with period
. The form of
and
are as follows:
and
for all nonnegative integer n, and
,
for
.
Before analysis, we introduce some notations and definitions. Let C denote the space of all bounded continuous functions. Given
, we let
If f is
-periodic, then the average value of f on a time interval
can be defined as
Lemma 1. Consider the following nonautonomous impulsive differential equations:
(4)
has a unique positive
-periodic solution
which is globally asymptotically stable.
Proof. Integrating and solving the first equation of system (4) between pulses for
.
where
, and
be the initial value at time
.
It follows from above equation and using the second equation of system (4), we get
and
Obviously,
, using the inductive method, namely that starts with the observations and theories are proposed towards the end of the research process as a result of observation, we have
(5)
Set
. From (5) and
, we have
(6)
f is the stroboscopic map. It is easy to see that system (6) has unique positive equilibrium:
It’s easy to see that system (3) has a unique disease-free periodic solution
.
3. Global Attractivity of the Disease-Free Periodic Solution
0.6 cm Before discuss the attractivity of the disease-free periodic solution of system (3), we firstly make the following assumption:
A): There exist two positive, continuous, periodic functions
with the period
, that is
,
, for all
, such that
,
, for
.
Theorem 1. If
and system (3) satisfies the assumption (A), then the disease-free periodic solution
is globally attractive, where
(7)
and
(8)
Proof. Let
be any solution of system (3). Since
, there exists a sufficiently small number
such that
(9)
By the comparison theorem [20], we can get that there exists a positive constant
such that
(10)
for all
. It follows from second, third equations of system (3) and (10), we have that, for
and
,
where
is the same to (8). Thus, we get that
(11)
By using the similar method, we can deduce from (11) that for
(12)
Especially, when
, we have
Therefor, for any positive integer s, we get that
Combining with (9), we have
(13)
According to (12) and (13), we know that
(14)
For above mentioned
, there exists
, we get
for all
.
From Lemma 1 and (14), we can see that the disease-free periodic solution
is global attractive.
4. Permanence of the Disease
In this section, we mainly obtain the sufficient conditions for the permanence of system (3). We give the following assumption at first:
(B) There exist two positive, continuous, periodic functions
with period
, such that
,
, for
.
Denote
by the solution of the following system:
According to Lemma 1, we can obtain that the system has a unique positive
-periodic solution
which is globally asymptotically stable.
Theorem 2. If
and system (3) satisfies the Hypotheses (A) and (B), the system (3) is permanent, where
(15)
Proof: Since
, it’s easily to see that there exists a sufficiently small
, such that
(16)
In order to illustrate the conclusion, we first prove the disease is uniformly weakly persistent, that is, there exists a positive constant
, such that
. By contradiction, for above given
, there exists a constant
, such that
, for all
.
According to assumption (A) and the first equation of system (3), we know
Then we have
By comparison theorem, we have
and
as
, where
is the solution of the following comparison system:
Therefore, for above mentioned
, there exists an integer
, such that
(17)
for all
For above mentioned
, we can get that there exists a positive integer
, such that
. Hence for all
, by the second and third equations of system (3) and (17), we have
(18)
where
are defined. In addition, in view of system (3), we yeild
where
can be seen.
Then, we consider impulsive comparison system:
By solving above impulsive differential equation, we can obtain that for
,
Furthermore, when
, we have
(19)
Therefore, for any positive integer
, we have
It follows from (19) that
as
. By the comparison theorem, we have
, which is a contradiction to
. Thus the claim is proved.
By the claim, we are left to consider the following two possibilities:
Case 1.
for all large t.
Case 2.
oscillates about
for all large t.
The first case implies that the result holds. Then we will consider the second possibility. At first, set
and
be large enough such that
,
. and
, for
.
There are two possible subcases for
.
Case (I). If
(n is a nonnegative integer and
), then
and
, where
. We claim that there must exist a positive constant m, such that
, for
. Then, we will consider two possibilities in terms of the size of
and
.
i) If
, where
is defined in (17), then from system (3), we have
(20)
From (20), we have
for all
.
ii) If
, in view of the discussion in (i), we have
, for all
. Next, we show that
for all
.
Otherwise, there exists a constant
such that
for all
.
and
, for all
.
Next, we discuss two possibilities separately:
(a) For all
,
.
It’s easy to see system (18) holds on
. So we can choose a proper
, such that
.
By the comparison theorem, we have
.
In addition, (16) implies that
Then, we obtain that
Then,
, for
, which is a contradiction.
Therefore,
for any
.
(b) There exists a
such that
. The proof of (b) is similar to (a), so we omit it. Subcase (II). If for all
,
, then
. Using the same methods of subcase (I), we can easily get a positive constant m, such that
, for all
.
Thus, we see that
for any
. Since this kind of interval
is chosen in an arbitrary way, we conclude that
for all large t.
According to our above discussion, the choice of m is independent of the positive solution of system (3), and we have proved that any solution of system (3) satisfies
for sufficiently large t, that is
. It is easy to obtain that, there exist positive constants
such that
. Therefore, the permanence of system (3) is proved.
5. Conclusion
In this paper, we have constructed a nonautonomous SEIS epidemic model with general nonlinear incidence and time-varying pulse control. On the basis of Theorems 1 and 2, we know that
and
are the threshold condition under the disease and become permanent or not. We have proved that the infected plants die out and the disease-free periodic solution is globally asymptotically attractive when the hypothesis (A) and
hold. What’s more, the infected plants persist when the hypotheses (A) and (B) hold and
.
Acknowledgements
The research has been supported by the Science and Technology Plan Projects of Jiangxi Provincial Education Department (GJJ151491, GJJ181359), Guidance Project of Ji’an Science and Technology Bureau, the Natural Science Foundation of Ji’an College (16JY103).