Improving the Forecast Accuracy of Oil-Stock Nexus in GCC Countries

HTML  XML Download Download as PDF (Size: 3143KB)  PP. 3073-3091  
DOI: 10.4236/tel.2018.814191    563 Downloads   1,055 Views  Citations

ABSTRACT

This paper renders new insights into the predictability of GCC stock returns using crude oil prices using the approach of [1] [2] that accounts for salient features of the predictor. The results show superior performance of the oil-based stock model over time-series models (namely, AR, MA, ARMA, and ARFIMA) for both in-sample and out-of-sample forecasts. The results are robust to different oil price series (Brent and WTI prices) and forecast horizons (30 and 60 days).

Share and Cite:

Nnachi, O. (2018) Improving the Forecast Accuracy of Oil-Stock Nexus in GCC Countries. Theoretical Economics Letters, 8, 3073-3091. doi: 10.4236/tel.2018.814191.

Copyright © 2024 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc.

Creative Commons License

This work and the related PDF file are licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.