Long-Memory and Spurious Breaks in Ecological Experiments

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DOI: 10.4236/ojs.2017.75054    821 Downloads   1,570 Views  
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ABSTRACT

The impact of long-memory on the Before-After-Control-Impact (BACI) design and a commonly used nonparametric alternative, Randomized Intervention Analysis (RIA), is examined. It is shown the corrections used based on short-memory processes are not adequate. Long-memory series are also known to exhibit spurious structural breaks that can be mistakenly attributed to an intervention. Two examples from the literature are used as illustrations.

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Boucher, T. (2017) Long-Memory and Spurious Breaks in Ecological Experiments. Open Journal of Statistics, 7, 768-779. doi: 10.4236/ojs.2017.75054.

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