A Modified Epidemic Chain Binomial Model

HTML  XML Download Download as PDF (Size: 266KB)  PP. 1-6  
DOI: 10.4236/ojs.2016.61001    5,077 Downloads   6,221 Views  Citations

ABSTRACT

Discrete epidemic models are applied to describe the physical phenomena of spreading infectious diseases in a household. In this paper, an attempt has been made to develop a modified epidemic chain model by assuming a beta distribution of third kind for the probability of being infected by contact with a given infective from the same household with closed population. This paper emphasizes mainly on developing the probabilities of all possible epidemic chains with one introductory case for three, four and five member household. The key phenomenon towards developing this paper is to provide an alternative model of chain binomial model.

Share and Cite:

Nath, D. , Das, K. and Chakraborty, T. (2016) A Modified Epidemic Chain Binomial Model. Open Journal of Statistics, 6, 1-6. doi: 10.4236/ojs.2016.61001.

Copyright © 2024 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc.

Creative Commons License

This work and the related PDF file are licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.